Saturday, March 2, 2013

Don't Campaign for Yourself


Don't Campaign for Yourself
People often have pet charitable issues. Whether it is some issue that affected them in the past, affects them now, or affects someone close to them. Part of the reason for this might be that these issues have solidified into what might be called a new terminal value. I suspect that some of the motivation, though, is that they believe at some level that they stand to benefit themselves by campaigning for themselves. If for example, you are a US cotton farmer you are probably going to pick up the bug and advocate for increasing subsidies on US cotton. I don't imagine that given the number of US cotton farmers the net return is going to be even close to being worth the time invested in campaigning. For example if there are 2 million US cotton farmers, and you sign a petition or attend a rally for US cotton farming, the extra revenue you are generating, even if it is large, is going to be distributed over 2 million cotton farmers. The consequence of this is that to the extent you are doing this for self-serving reasons, you are getting a horrible deal. Part of the reason that people do things like this is that their values shift slightly from helping themselves to helping people who are like them.  In most cases it is going to be a mix of the two and so they really ought to consider this factor.
             
           In relation to effective altruism, you may want to think about which of the causes you advocate follow the pattern described and so which you might be advocating and donating to because of (mistaken) self-serving motivations. There are some tricks for accessing your motivations on this point such as asking what the chances are of, say, a disabled person advocating disability rights. If each of these were present at a rate of, say, 1% in the population then the chances that they would co-occur in you would be 1 in 10,000 unless they were related by the sort of biasing factor being discussed.


Some factors that might make it a good idea to advocate for a pet idea, that by being subject to the issue you might have an uncommon insight into how important this issue is and/or you might be especially qualified to work on or talk about the issue because of relevant knowledge or experience. The second factor only seems useful if the issue happens to be effective altruism already because your increasing expertise probably wouldn't push it into it being effective for you.

Your Ideal Universe


It is hard to think about what you in fact value, and this is a thought experiment that will hopefully help you to clarify this. It also has the merit of being a question that could possibly come up. The question is what would you do with the universe if you had all available possible physical power to shape it? How would you set it up? One idea that might be very good in practise is getting all the knowledge about how to make the decision  This is excluded by the purpose of this as a thought experiment, but it's the way to go in practise.

So what would you do? 1: Would you create a small society of super beings who would work though all the questions of the universe and then forget them and start again as soon as they are finished? 2: Would you design the universe to be brimming with uncontrolled life? 3: Would you design a huge playground for yourself? 4: Would you create a universe that was completely filled with a substance that was running the processes that led to the highest form of pleasure and happiness imaginable?

Hopefully, those intuition pumps will get you going in the right way to figure out some values. I would answer 4 to this question. If I had extra resources to do so, I would add some cool details to the universe like having the minds be intelligent or even omniscient  but I wouldn't want to comprising the total number of minds that were experiencing the best emotions if I had only a finite amount of stuff to build from.